bella18 
Perezida wa Irani, Masoud Pezeshkian, yatunguye abantu benshi igihe yasabaga imbabazi ibihugu bituranye n’igihugu cye kubera ibitero biherutse kubikorerwa. Ibi yabivugiye mu ijambo yatanze ku wa gatandatu mu gitondo, mu gihe ayoboye ubutegetsi bw’agateganyo.
Gusabana imbabazi hagati y’ibihugu ni ibintu bidakunze kubaho, cyane cyane mu gihe intambara ikiri gukomeza. Kenshi abayobozi b’ibihugu bahitamo kuvuga amagambo yo kwicuza cyangwa kugaragaza ko ibibaye batabigizemo uruhare.
Ariko Pezeshkian we yavuze yeruye ko ibihugu bituranye na Irani byagize ubwoba kubera ibyo bitero, anavuga ko ingabo zahawe amabwiriza yo kutazongera kubirasa keretse gusa habaye ibitero biturutse ku butaka bwabyo.
Yagize ati:
“Mbona ari ngombwa ko nsaba imbabazi ibihugu byatewe. Nta mugambi dufite wo gutera ibihugu duturanye.”
Kuki yasabye imbabazi ubu?
Aya magambo yateye abantu kwibaza niba ari imbabazi nyazo, ndetse n’impamvu azivuze muri iki gihe.
Impamvu imwe ishoboka ni uko ubutegetsi bw’agateganyo buri kugerageza gukumira ko amakimbirane yakwira mu karere kose. Ibihugu bimwe byo mu karere byari byaramaze kugira impungenge nyuma y’ibitero byakozwe na Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika na Israel ku wa 28 Gashyantare.
Pezeshkian yavuze ko nyuma y’ibitero byishe bamwe mu bayobozi bakuru ba Irani, ingabo zayo zagiye zisubiza ibitero uko zishatse n’aho zishatse, kubera ko ubuyobozi bwari bwahungabanye.
Gusaba imbabazi kwe gushobora kuba ari uburyo bwo kwerekana ko ubuyobozi bwa Tehran budashaka ko iyi ntambara ihinduka iy’akarere kose.
Ibitero biracyakomeza
Nubwo yavuze aya magambo, ntibiramenyekana neza niba azakurikirwa n’ibikorwa bifatika.
Hari amakuru avuga ko ibitero bya Irani bitarahagarara. Qatar na Emira Zunze Ubumwe z’Abarabu byatangaje ko byahagaritse mu kirere misile zari zirashwe ku butaka bwabyo ku mugoroba wo ku wa gatandatu.
Iyo ibitero nk’ibi bikomeje, bishobora gutuma hibazwa neza uwufite ububasha nyabwo mu buyobozi bwa Irani.
Impinduka mu buyobozi bwa Irani
Nyuma y’ibitero bya mbere byahitanye abayobozi bakuru barimo n’umuyobozi w’ikirenga wa Irani Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, igihugu kiri kuyoborwa n’inama y’agateganyo.
Ibi byatumye abantu nka Perezida Pezeshkian bagira ububasha burenze ubwo bari basanzwe bafite.
Ariko hari ugushidikanya ku bushobozi bwabo bwo kugenzura inzego zikomeye za gisirikare n’umutekano, cyane cyane ingabo zizwi nka Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).
Niba ibitero bya Irani bikomeje nyuma y’amabwiriza ya perezida, bishobora kwerekana ko mu buyobozi hariho kudahuza cyangwa ko hari impande zifata ibyemezo zitabanje kumenyeshwa.
Abanenga amagambo ye
Abantu bamwe bafite ibitekerezo bikomeye mu nzego z’umutekano muri Irani bamaze kunenga amagambo ya Pezeshkian, bavuga ko agaragaza intege nke z’ubuyobozi.
Kuri bo, gusaba imbabazi mu gihe igihugu kiri mu ntambara bishobora gufatwa nk’aho igihugu cyamanitse amaboko.
Ibyavuzwe na Donald Trump
Ku ruhande rwo hanze, uwahoze ari perezida wa Amerika Donald Trump yavuze ku rubuga rwe rwa Truth Social ko Irani “yasabye imbabazi kandi yamanitse amaboko” ku bihugu bituranye na yo.
Trump yavuze ko ibi byerekana ko ibitero bya Amerika na Israel byatanze umusaruro, anongeraho ko intambara yarangira gusa ari uko Irani yemeye “kumanika amaboko nta kindi isabye”.
Ariko mu by’ukuri mu mateka ya dipolomasi, ni gake igihugu cyemera kumanika amaboko burundu kubera ibitero byo mu kirere gusa, hatabayeho n’intambara yo ku butaka.
Ibishobora gukurikiraho
Ku ruhande rwa Pezeshkian n’inama iyoboye igihugu by’agateganyo, hari indi mibare ya politiki barimo gutekereza.
Niba intambara ihagaze, bishobora gutanga amahirwe yo gushaka umuyobozi mushya uzasimbura ubuyobozi bwariho mbere.
Ariko niba uwo muyobozi mushya yaba umuntu ufite ibitekerezo bikaze bya politiki cyangwa idini, bishobora kongera gutuma umubano wa Irani n’ibihugu by’iburengerazuba urushaho gukomera.
Intambara y’ubutegetsi imbere mu gihugu
Muri iki gihe, mu Irani hatangiye no kugaragara guhatanira ubutegetsi hagati y’abayobozi batandukanye.
Abayobozi bamwe ba politiki n’ab’idini, hamwe n’abasirikare bo muri IRGC, bashobora gufata iki gihe cy’akaga nk’amahirwe yo kwigarurira ububasha bukomeye.
Hari n’abasaba ko Assembly of Experts yihutira gutoranya umuyobozi mushya w’ikirenga.
Niba Pezeshkian atabashije kugarura ituze cyangwa kugenzura ingabo, abamurwanya bashobora kuvuga ko adafite imbaraga zihagije zo kuyobora igihugu.
Ibihugu bituranye biracyitegereza
Kugeza ubu, ibihugu byinshi bituranye na Irani biracyitonda mu magambo, bitegereje kureba niba koko imbabazi yasabye zizakurikirwa n’impinduka ku rugamba.
Ku ruhande rwa Israel yo, ibona iyi ntambara nk’amahirwe yo guca intege umwanzi wayo umaze igihe kinini uyibangamiye, bityo amagambo ya Pezeshkian yo gusaba imbabazi ntacyo ayivuzeho cyane.
Muri make, amagambo ya Pezeshkian ashobora gusobanurwa mu buryo butandukanye:
- ashobora kuba ari ukugerageza kugabanya umwuka mubi mu karere,
- cyangwa ari uburyo ubutegetsi bw’agateganyo bushaka kubanza kwiyubaka,
- cyangwa se ari intangiriro y’impinduka zikomeye mu buyobozi bwa Irani.
